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HOW DO WE MEASURE HOME ADVANTAGE?

Online Football Betting


Looking at home and away form is one of the first things punters do when analysing a match, but we rarely see decisive difference or extremes that could convince us a bet is worth taking without any further analysis. In England, more than anywhere, teams fighting to avoid the drop can easily upset the odds and beat a promotion chaser or a playoff team. Some call them surprises, but to those of us with enough experience in betting, these type of situations are what we are trying to jump on to grab the extra value.

If you remember, Sunderland managed to beat a whole lot of top six teams some years ago in order to stay in the Premiership and that comes to show how important motivation could be in transforming even mediocre players into superstars for a short period of time. Still, one must always look for scientific ways to measure the likelihood of a certain outcome and in home or away form, that measurement is called ‘'average home points per game''




THE AVILABLE STATS

Online Football Betting

Leagues with more than 1.70 home points

  • RUSSIA Premier league (1.79) - Top Division
  • BULGARIA Prva Liga (1.75) - Top Division
  • SERBIA Prva Liga (1.74) - Top Division
  • FRANCE Ligue 1 (1.74) - Top Division
  • AUSTRIA Bundesliga (1.73) - Top Division

Leagues with less than 1.50 home points

  • SCOTLAND League 1 (1.36) - Third Division
  • SCOTLAND League 2 (1.40) - Fourth Division
  • ENGLAND League 2 (1.41) - Fourth Division
  • SCOTLAND Championship (1.46) - Second Division
  • UKRAINE Premier league (1.49) - Top Division


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